No part of the world has been more impacted by Donald Trump’s election than the Middle East. For some, such as Saudi Arabia, Israel, the UAE, and other Gulf states, Trump’s election brings hope for peace and better relations. For Iran, Syria, Iraq, and most especially Yemen, the news of Trump’s coming ascension went over like a lead balloon.
For Iran, it’s a matter of survival. Trump must die or the regime will die. It’s not just that Trump had Qasem Soleimani, chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force, assassinated in a high-profile, very public way. Soleimani led the organization responsible for terrorism across the Middle East.
Iran is using Soleimani’s killing as an excuse to go after Trump. The truth is, Iran knows the difference between a Biden presidency and a Trump presidency, and without firing a shot, Trump can bring the Iranian regime to its knees.
For the last four years, Iran has been able to sell $50 billion in oil, mostly to China, despite strict sanctions imposed on their oil industry by Trump. Biden’s lax enforcement of the oil embargo and other sanctions has enriched the mullahs and Revolutionary Guard commanders. Those are the individuals who maintain security in Iran and prevent uprisings.
There’s already a low-intensity rebellion in Sistan and Baluchistan Province that flares up from time to time. And the ever-present threat of mass demonstrations on the streets of major cities has the entire leadership on edge. Anything can set off the next round of protests and crackdowns. […]
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